Equity Forecast Lab

Presetroutes (K)3agents (N)1000horizon (T)60alpha (congestion exp)1.5beta (congestion sens)2inertia (ρ)0.5noise (ε)0.02switch cost (lane change)0.05my info delay (Δ)3

EVENT (alpha route 0)

t05magnitude0.8decay0

TIERS · DELAY & POLICY

TIER · insidershare 0.1

last-tier delay0routing policy

Always move toward the single cheapest route now. Greedy; overshoots.

TIER · institutionalshare 0.3

last-tier delay5routing policy

Always move toward the single cheapest route now. Greedy; overshoots.

TIER · retailshare 0.6

last-tier delay15routing policy

Always move toward the single cheapest route now. Greedy; overshoots.

seed0

ROUTING · INFORMATION DIFFUSION

Information-Diffusion Routing Simulator

K parallel routes; an event makes one route cheaper, but only informed tiers know — and as the crowd arrives the edge decays.